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Mountain Pine Beetle Modelling (MPB)


Lewis, MA, Nelson, W and Xu, C. (2010). A structured threshold model for mountain pine beetle outbreak. Bulletin of Mathematical Biology, 72: 565-589.

Pineda-Krch, M. and Lewis, M. (Apr 2010): Evaluation for “Regime shifts in ecological systems can occur with no warning, Alan Hastings and Derin B. Wysham,” Ecology Letters, Vol 13 (4), 464-472.

zu Dohna, H. and Pineda-Krch, M. (2010). Fitting parameters of stochastic birth-death models to metapopulation data. Theoretical Population Biology, 78: 71-76.

Nelson, W.A., Lewis, M.A. (2008). Connecting host physiology to host resistance in the conifer-bark beetle system. Theoretical Ecology. 1(3): 163-177.

Nelson, W.A., Potapov, A., Lewis, M.A., Hundsdorfer, A., He, F. (2008). Balancing ecological complexity in predictive models: A reassessment of risk models in the mountain pine beetle. Journal of Applied Ecology. 45:248-257.


Affiliated Researchers

B. Cooke, Canadian Forest Service;

W.A. Nelson, Queens University

Caterpillar, graphs, tent in trees