STAT 571 OUTLINE, TR 11:00-12:20 in CAB 457 Jan 8 - Apr 9
Availability: Office hours, appointments,
after class, or by email.
Lecture Notes: freely available online at
SbSProbability.com..
This is all most people will need.
Some additional optional references:
Probability and Measure by Billingsley,
A First Look at Rigorous Probability Theory by Rosenthal or
Probability, Theory and Examples by Durrett.
Course Content (list subject to minor modification and time considerations):
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Fundamentals of Measure and Integration
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Non-measurable sets
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Probability Spaces
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Distributions and Random Variables
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Integration and Expected Value
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Comparison of Lebesgue and Riemann Integrals
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Inequalities
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Product Measures and Fubini's Theorem
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Independence
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Kolmogorov Consistency
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Weak Laws of Large Numbers
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Borel-Cantelli Lemmas
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Strong Law of Large Numbers
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Glivenko-Cantelli Theorem
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Weak and Vague Convergence
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Skorohod's Representation
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Characteristic Functions
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Central Limit Theorems
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Conditional Probability and Expectation
Marking:
| | |
| | |
| Worst MidTerm | 15% | |
February 13, 2020 or March 19, 2020.
Closed book exam. No Calculators.
| |
In class.
|
| Best MidTerm | 35% | |
February 13, 2020 or March 19, 2020.
Closed book exam. No Calculators.
| | In class. |
| | |
| Final Exam | 50% | |
2pm-5pm, April 20, 2020 | |
Location to be set.
Closed book exam. No Calculators. Warning:
Students must verify this date on BearTracks when the final exam schedule is posted.
|
| Deferred Final | 50% | | Saturday May 9, 2020 at 9:00 a.m.
in CAB 357.
Please arrive at 8:30 to register.
Warning:
Students must verify these Deferred Final details.
|
Rules:
- Your student photo I.D. is required at exams to verify your identity. Students will not be allowed to begin an examination after it has been in progress for 30 minutes. Students must remain in the exam room until at least 30 minutes has elapsed.
- Electronic equipment cannot be brought into examination rooms and hats should not be worn.
- Cell phones are to be turned off during lectures and should not be brought into exams.
- There are no make up assignments.
A student failing to hand in an assignment on time will be given a grade of zero
on that assignment.
The only exception is if there is a valid (at the discretion of the instructor)
explanation and the assignment is not more than 48 hours late.
- There is no deferred midterm exam.
A student who cannot write a midterm due to incapacitating illness, severe domestic affliction
or other compelling reasons can apply for an excused absence.
To apply for an excused absence, a student must inform the instructor within two working days
following the scheduled date of the missed exam, or as soon as the student
is able, having regard to the circumstances underlying the absence.
In all cases, adequate documentation to substantiate the reason for the absence may be required.
An excused absence is a privilege and not a right; there is no guarantee that an absence will be excused. Misrepresentation of Facts to gain an excused absence is a serious breach of the Code of Student Behaviour.
If you miss one midterm for valid reason, the midterm weight
will be transferred to the final exam.
For clarity, your other midterm will be weighted 25% and
your final exam will be 65%.
-
A student who cannot write the final examination due to incapacitating illness,
severe domestic affliction or other compelling reasons can apply for a deferred final
examination.
Students who failed at the start of term to request exam accommodations for religious beliefs are expected to follow the normal deferred final examination process.
Such an application must be made to the student's Faculty office within two working days
of the missed examination and must be supported by a Statutory Declaration
or other appropriate documentation (Calendar section
23.5.6).
Deferred examinations are a privilege and not a right; there is no guarantee that
a deferred examination will be granted.
Misrepresentation of Facts to gain a deferred
examination is a serious breach of the Code of Student Behaviour.
-
A student who writes the final examination and fails the course may apply for a re-
examination. Re-examinations are rarely granted in the Faculty of Science. These exams
are governed by University (Calendar section 23.5.5) and Faculty of Science Regulations
(Calendar section 192.5.9). Misrepresentation of Facts to gain a re-examination is a
serious breach of the Code of Student Behaviour.
-
Every term there are several students who receive academic penalties for copying assignments. Here are some tips to avoid copying on assignments:
(1) Do not write down something that you cannot explain to your instructor.
(2) When you are helping other students, avoid showing them your work directly. Instead, explain your solution verbally. Students whose work is copied also receive academic sanctions.
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Audio or video recording, digital or otherwise, of lectures, labs, seminars or any other teaching environment by students is allowed only with the prior written consent of the instructor or as a part of an approved accommodation plan. Student or instructor content, digital or otherwise, created and/or used within the context of the course is to be used solely for personal study, and is not to be used or distributed for any other purpose without prior written consent from the content author(s).
Grading Policy:
Scores on unduly difficult exams may be adjusted, but marks are not curved.
I am not afraid of giving high marks if the class is making an effort.
Important Dates:
- Tuesday, January 7, 2020 - First Class.
- Thursday, February 13, 2020 - MIDTERM EXAM I (in class).
- February 17-21, 2020 - Family Day and Reading Week - No Classes.
- Thursday, March 19, 2020 - MIDTERM EXAM II (in class).
- Tuesday, April 7 2020 - Last Class.
- Monday, April 20, 2020 - FINAL EXAM (14:00 - 17:00,
location to be announced, Warning Verify date and time on BearTracks).
- Saturday, May 9, 2020 - DEFERRED FINAL EXAM (9:00 - 12:00)
in CAB 357.
Support:
-
Eligible students have both rights and responsibilities with regard to accessibility-related
accommodations.
Consequently, scheduling exam accommodations in accordance with Accessibility
Resources deadlines and
procedures is essential.
Please note adherence to procedures and deadlines is required for U of A to provide accommodations.
Contact Accessibility Resources
(https://www.ualberta.ca/current-students/student-accessibility-services/)
for further information.
Disclaimer: Any typographical errors in this Course Outline are subject to change and will be announced in class. The date of the final examination is set by the Registrar and takes precedence over the final examination date reported in this syllabus.
Course Prerequisites:
Statistics 512 and 471 or permission from the instructor.
The University of Alberta is committed to the highest standards of academic integrity and
honesty. Students are expected to be familiar with these standards regarding academic
honesty and to uphold the policies of the University in this respect. Students are
particularly urged to familiarize themselves with the provisions of the Code of Student
Behaviour
(online at www.governance.ualberta.ca)
(online at http://www.governance.ualberta.ca)
and avoid any behaviour which could
potentially result in suspicions of cheating, plagiarism, misrepresentation of facts and/or
participation in an offence. Academic dishonesty is a serious offence and can result in
suspension or expulsion from the University.
All forms of dishonesty are unacceptable at the University. Any offense will be reported
to the Associate Dean of Science who will determine the disciplinary action to be
taken. Cheating, plagiarism and misrepresentation of facts are serious offenses. Anyone
who engages in these practices will receive at minimum a grade of zero for the exam or
paper in question and no opportunity will be given to replace the grade or redistribute the
weights. As well, in the Faculty of Science the sanction for cheating on any examination
will include a disciplinary failing grade (no exceptions) and senior students should
expect a period of suspension or expulsion from the University of Alberta.